Something akin to a Manhattan Project for vaccines was going to be required in response. death rate was closer to that of a midrange EU country, 4 but even on this basis, New Jersey, New York, and New York City were global outliers. Using the more relevant deaths-per-million metric, the U.S. The country recorded the largest number of Covid-19 deaths in the world. When Covid-19 did hit the United States, it would be hard to argue that the pandemic was well managed. I’m not sure that folks understand what is just over the horizon.” On February 20, he warned in another email that the outbreak of Covid-19 on cruise ships was “a preview of what will happen when this virus makes its way to the US healthcare system, not to mention institutionalized high-risk populations in the US, like nursing homes. Carter Mecher, a senior medical adviser at Veterans Affairs, wrote on January 28, 2020. Any way you cut it, this is going to be bad,” Dr. 3 (The name “Red Dawn” comes from the 1984 movie about Americans fighting Soviet invaders.) “The chatter is that WHO and CDC are behind the curve. These discussions among public health experts can be found in the so-called Red Dawn emails. Instead, as was becoming clear, the novel coronavirus was highly contagious and often lethal, too it wasn’t comparable to just a bad case of the flu. It was originally hoped that it would be like H1N1 (swine flu), which was highly contagious, but not lethal. News about the virus kept going from bad to worse. The pandemic preparedness community realized fairly early in 2020 that the novel coronavirus posed a severe threat. The model offers new ways to bolster economic security and ultimately national security as well. OWS shows how the United States can reimagine and leapfrog existing manufacturing paradigms to dominate the technologies of the future. OWS‑type interventions offer an entirely new set of economic policies that could be a blueprint for industrial strategy going forward. Conventional fiscal or monetary policy is no longer working effectively to foster domestic productivity growth or to prevent deindustrialization. Though OWS was created to accelerate the development, manufacturing, and distribution of vaccines, this same institutional model could be used for other technological and manufacturing challenges facing the United States. It illustrates best practices in program design, as well as in government contracting. OWS is a working model of how different government agencies, and the private sector, can cooperate to quickly solve a technological challenge. To avoid stagnation, it should involve competition among firms as well-which in OWS took the form of a race for FDA approval of vaccines.īut OWS can also be understood as a specifically American operational success story, a government structure that can be used to implement industrial strategy more broadly. Instead, reindustrialization requires sustained demand 2-as provided by Warp Speed’s guaranteed contracts. Investing in only basic scientific research, the traditional strategy of the United States, is not sufficient. OWS offers insights into what is required to rebuild American production of key medical products and other industrial capabilities more generally. developmental state, despite forty years of ideological assault. government can still accomplish when it comes to tackling a seemingly unsolvable technological challenge. But it was also a triumph and validation of industrial policy. Operation Warp Speed was a triumph of public health policy. A partnership between the Departments of Health and Human Services (HHS) and Defense (DoD), other agencies, and the private sector, its goal was to “accelerate the testing, supply, development, and distribution of safe and effective vaccines, therapeutics, and diagnostics to counter Covid-19.” As a result of OWS, millions of lives were saved from the pandemic. Operation Warp Speed 1 (OWS) was launched on May 15, 2020.
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